The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has opened Invest 94W for a tropical disturbance over southwest Pohnpei State, currently located near Nukuoro near 3N156E. There is moderate to deep convection spread across a broad area covering portions of Chuuk State and Pohnpei State, focused mainly west and northwest of the center in the vicinity of and south of Chuuk Proper, as seen in latest satellite imagery. This morning's scatterometry shows an area of 15 to 25 knot winds associated with convection south of Pohnpei, north of a broad, weak surface circulation. This disturbance is favored to organize as it shifts northwest over the next few days, likely passing just south of Chuuk Proper tomorrow through tomorrow night, then continuing through eastern Yap State on Sunday and Sunday night. This will bring continued unsettled weather to Chuuk State, which then looks to spread over eastern Yap State, including Faraulep, Woleai, and Satawal. Locally heavy showers and gusty winds are expected. Travel between islands could become hazardous as thunderstorm activity, the potential for strong gusts, and choppy seas increase. Folks across Chuuk State and eastern Yap State should monitor local weather forecasts the next couple of days from the National Weather Service in Guam, and for additional information from your local Weather Service Office and emergency management. Visit weather.gov/gum/PublicForecasts for the latest weather information from the National Weather Service.
