| |
|
Other Weather Alerts |
| Type |
Tropical Cyclone Statement |
|
| Issued By |
NWS Tallahassee FL |
| Issuing Time |
Wed, 09 Oct 2024 02:11:00 PDT |
| Broadcast Time |
Wed, 09 Oct 2024 02:11:00 PDT |
| Valid Until |
Wed, 09 Oct 2024 10:15:00 PDT |
| Brief Description |
Tropical Cyclone Statement |
| Detailed Description |
HLSTAE This product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia **PERIPHERAL RAIN AND WIND IMPACTS ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND FROM MAJOR HURRICANE MILTON BEGINNING LATE TODAY** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Dixie, Coastal Franklin, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, Coastal Wakulla, Inland Dixie, Inland Taylor, and Lafayette - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Inland Jefferson and Madison * STORM INFORMATION: - About 390 miles south of Panama City or about 420 miles south of Tallahassee - 24.5N 85.4W - Storm Intensity 160 mph - Movement Northeast or 45 degrees at 14 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ As of 5 AM EDT, Hurricane Milton remains a category 5 hurricane over extreme southeast Gulf of Mexico while moving east-northeastward. Milton is still forecast to be a large, dangerous major hurricane when it makes landfall along the west-central coast of Florida late tonight. Overall, little change has been made to the track compared to the previous advisory, so the thinking on local wind and rain peripheral impacts is largely intact. Milton's forecast large size will be the result of an interaction with a cold front moving southeast over the Florida Panhandle. This expansion in the wind field will help to increase winds on the northwest side of the circulation. While the probabilities for tropical storm force winds have decreased markedly over the last 36 hours, tropical storm conditions are still likely across the Apalachee Bay coastline. Although confidence is lower in these winds across inland areas in the southeast portions of the Florida Big Bend in and east of Jefferson County, Florida, tropical storm watches and warnings remain in place with this advisory to account for some uncertainty. Important Note: while gusty winds may not reach tropical storm strength across much of the area, they could still hamper recovery efforts from Helene and cause additional damage to weakened trees or structures. The heavy rainfall threat continues to be confined to the extreme southeast Florida Big Bend. Current forecast rainfall amounts across the southeast Big Bend are now around 1 to 2 inches, with local amounts potentially higher across the lower Suwannee Valley. This could result in some localized flash flooding. There will be a very sharp cutoff in the higher rainfall amounts on the northwestern side of the Milton, so any subtle shifts in track could bring higher, or lower, amounts of rainfall to those who reside along the current gradient of heavy rain. Tornadoes and significant storm surge continue to not pose much concern with the forecast track of Milton. However, storm surge will be highly track dependent. Any shifts in the track northward may bring a storm surge threat into the some portions of Apalachee Bay. With strong easterly flow ahead of the storm, there will at least be some potential for minor coastal flooding under 3 feet, mostly along any east-facing beaches, especially from Alligator Point to St Marks Florida. Dangerous marine conditions are also expected with building waves and strengthening winds beginning Wednesday and persisting into Thursday afternoon or evening. This will result in high surf and deadly rip currents along all area beaches for much of the upcoming week. The former looks to materialize by this afternoon across St George Island, then spread to the Emerald Coast in the evening. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * WIND: Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across southeast and coastal Florida Big Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the coast of the Apalachee Bay extending westwards towards the Indian Pass. Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is anticipated. * SURGE: Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across Apalachee Bay. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is anticipated. * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant impacts across the extreme southeast Florida Big Bend. Potential impacts include: - Heavy rainfall flooding may prompt some evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries could overflow their banks in some places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters could enter several structures within multiple communities. Flood waters may cover some escape routes. Streets and parking lots could become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions potentially dangerous. Some road and bridge closures possible. Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited impacts across the lower Suwannee Valley. Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding. When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of the storm. Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the forecast. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Tallahassee FL around 11 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant. |
|
| Region |
Alert |
| Florida |
Tornado Warning
|
| Florida |
Flood Warning (22)
|
| North Carolina |
Flood Warning (3)
|
| South Carolina |
Flood Warning (4)
|
| Georgia |
Flood Warning (20)
|
| Wisconsin |
Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (2)
|
| West Virginia |
Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (4)
|
| Florida |
Tropical Cyclone Advisory (89)
|
| Lake Okeechobee (Florida),Coastal Florida |
Tropical Cyclone Advisory
|
| Tampa Bay,Gulf of Mexico waters,Coastal Florida |
Tropical Cyclone Advisory (3)
|
| Coastal Florida |
Tropical Cyclone Advisory
|
| Coastal Florida,Southeast Coast (Atlantic) from NC south; Puerto Rican Waters; Caribbean Sea; Southwest North Atlantic |
Tropical Cyclone Advisory (3)
|
| Florida |
Severe Local Storm Watch or Watch Cancellation (3)
|
| Coastal Florida |
Severe Local Storm Watch or Watch Cancellation
|
| Lake Okeechobee (Florida),Biscayne Bay,Coastal Florida |
Severe Local Storm Watch or Watch Cancellation
|
| Tampa Bay,Gulf of Mexico waters,Coastal Florida |
Severe Local Storm Watch or Watch Cancellation
|
| Coastal Florida |
Special Marine Warning (3)
|
| Coastal Florida |
Special Marine Warning
|
| Coastal South Carolina |
Hurricane Local Statement (10)
|
| Coastal North Carolina,Coastal North Carolina-South Carolina |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Florida |
Hurricane Local Statement (50)
|
| Biscayne Bay,Coastal Florida |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Lake Okeechobee (Florida),Coastal Florida |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement (17)
|
| Coastal Florida,Coastal Florida-Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Florida Bay,Key West - Florida,Gulf of Mexico waters,Coastal Florida,Key West to Dry Tortugas |
Hurricane Local Statement (3)
|
| Coastal South Carolina,Coastal South Carolina-Georgia,Coastal Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Coastal South Carolina,Coastal South Carolina-Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Coastal Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| North Carolina |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
| Texas |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (3)
|
| Louisiana,Mississippi |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
| Florida |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
| Florida |
Flood Statement (5)
|
| Alaska |
Special Weather Statement (4)
|
| Colorado |
Air Stagnation Advisory (11)
|
| Arizona |
Air Stagnation Advisory
|
| Idaho |
Air Stagnation Advisory
|
| Wyoming |
Air Stagnation Advisory (3)
|
| Oregon |
Air Stagnation Advisory (3)
|
| Texas |
Air Stagnation Advisory
|
| Oregon |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
| Florida |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (40)
|
| South Carolina |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (3)
|
| Georgia |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (7)
|
| Alabama,Florida,Georgia |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
| Alaska |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (3)
|
| Wisconsin |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
| Idaho |
Red Flag Warning (2)
|
| Florida,Georgia |
Marine Weather Statement (13)
|
| Pamlico Sound - North Carolina |
Marine Weather Statement (3)
|
| Texas |
Marine Weather Statement (2)
|
| Lake Superior |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Coastal Massachusetts |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Coastal New Jersey |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Coastal New Jersey,Coastal Delaware |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Delaware Bay |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Lake Erie |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Lake Ontario |
Marine Weather Statement (2)
|
| Lake Ontario |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Lake Erie |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Coastal Texas |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Virgin Islands |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Coastal Florida-Mississippi |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Coastal Florida-Mississippi |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Tidal Potomac (Maryland) |
Marine Weather Statement (2)
|
| Chesapeake Bay,Tidal Potomac,Coastal Atlantic (south to NC) |
Marine Weather Statement (19)
|
| Coastal Louisiana-Mississippi,Gulf of Mexico waters,Coastal Mississippi |
Marine Weather Statement (4)
|
| Alabama,Florida |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Lake Ontario |
Marine Weather Statement
|
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