Traverse City, MI Storm Center: Alert Detail

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My Location: Traverse City, MI

Current Time: 08:02:20 PM EST


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Weather Alert

		Other Weather Alerts
Type	Hydrologic Outlook	River Statement Thu Jan 16 13:19:00 PST 2025
Issued By	NWS Brownsville TX
Issuing Time	Thu, 16 Jan 2025 13:17:00 PST
Broadcast Time	Thu, 16 Jan 2025 13:17:00 PST
Valid Until	Fri, 17 Jan 2025 01:30:00 PST
Brief Description	Hydrologic Outlook
Detailed Description	ESFBRO The Brownsville Texas National Weather Service Office has implemented Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) for the Los Olmos Creek basin in Deep South Texas. AHPS enables the National Weather Service to provide long-range probabilistic outlooks. This service is also available on the internet. In the table below. the 90 through 10 percent columns indicate the chance the creek could rise above the listed stage levels in the next 90 days. Example: The Los Olmos Creek near Falfurrias has a flood stage of 11 feet. There is a 50 percent chance the Falfurrias forecast point will rise above 1.9 feet during the next 90 days. Chance of Exceeding Stages at Specific Locations Valid [12/18/2024 - 03/18/2025] Location FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% -------- ----- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- Los Olmos Creek Falfurrias 11.0 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.6 3.4 4.2 This long-range probabilistic outlook contains numbers that are calculated using multiple scenarios from 50 years of historical climatological and stream flow data. These numbers also take into account the current conditions of the creek and soil moisture. By providing the complete range of probabilistic numbers. the level of risk associated with the long-range planning decisions can be determined. Additional supportive data and explanation are available on the internet at: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/long_range.php?wfo=bro Long range probabilistic outlooks are issued around the third Thursday of every month.

All Alerts

Region	Alert
Arkansas,Louisiana	Flood Warning (17)
Texas	Flood Warning (10)
California	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (3)
New York	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (2)
Pennsylvania	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (27)
Montana	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (9)
Idaho	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory
Wyoming	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (13)
West Virginia	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (17)
Minnesota,North Dakota	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (2)
Colorado	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (7)
Virginia	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (6)
Maryland,West Virginia	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (9)
Alaska	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (36)
Ohio,West Virginia	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (15)
Georgia,South Carolina	Lakeshore Warning or Statement
Coastal Oregon-California,Coastal California-Oregon	Public Severe Weather Alert
Coastal Oregon-California,Coastal California-Oregon	Public Severe Weather Alert
Colorado	Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement
Alaska	Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (3)
Illinois	Flood Statement
New Mexico,Texas	Special Weather Statement (3)
District of Columbia,Maryland,Virginia	Special Weather Statement (2)
Indiana,Kentucky	Special Weather Statement (2)
Delaware,Maryland,New Jersey,Pennsylvania	Special Weather Statement
Alaska	Special Weather Statement
Tidal Potomac (Maryland),District of Columbia,Virginia,West Virginia	Special Weather Statement
Alaska	Air Stagnation Advisory
Idaho,Oregon	Air Stagnation Advisory (25)
Montana	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (30)
New Mexico,Texas	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (8)
Wyoming	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (22)
North Carolina,Virginia	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
South Dakota	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (5)
Coastal North Carolina	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
Coastal North Carolina	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
Lake Huron,Lake Huron	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (12)
Oregon	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
Lake Superior - Minnesota,Lake Superior - Wisconsin	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (7)
Lake Superior - Wisconsin,Lake Superior; St. Marys River	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (41)
Alaska	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (4)
North Dakota	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (2)
Coastal California	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (4)
Coastal North Carolina	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
Coastal North Carolina	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
Coastal North Carolina	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
Coastal North Carolina	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
Coastal North Carolina	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
Coastal North Carolina	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
Coastal North Carolina	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
Coastal North Carolina	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
Florida	Marine Weather Statement
Texas	Marine Weather Statement (2)
Pohnpei Coastal Waters,Kosrae Coastal Waters,Majuro Coastal Waters	Marine Weather Statement
Federated States of Micronesia	Marine Weather Statement (22)
Guam Coastal Waters,Rota Coastal Waters,Tinian Coastal Waters,Saipan Coastal Waters	Marine Weather Statement
Guam,Mauritius	Marine Weather Statement (6)
Chuuk Coastal Waters	Marine Weather Statement (12)
Coastal New Jersey,Coastal Delaware	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Oregon	Marine Weather Statement (2)
Lake Superior,St. Marys River	Marine Weather Statement
Coastal South Carolina	Marine Weather Statement (5)
Coastal South Carolina-Georgia	Marine Weather Statement (5)
Coastal Georgia	Marine Weather Statement (5)
Coastal North Carolina,Coastal North Carolina-South Carolina,Coastal South Carolina	Marine Weather Statement (4)
Coastal Oregon-California,Coastal California-Oregon	Marine Weather Statement (11)
Coastal Oregon	Marine Weather Statement
Pamlico Sound - North Carolina	Marine Weather Statement (5)
Virgin Islands	Marine Weather Statement (2)
Lake Superior - Wisconsin	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Superior - Wisconsin,Lake Superior; St. Marys River	Marine Weather Statement (19)
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Chesapeake Bay,Tidal Potomac (Maryland),Coastal Atlantic (south to NC)	Marine Weather Statement (16)
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Pohnpei Coastal Waters,Kosrae Coastal Waters,Majuro Coastal Waters	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Pohnpei Coastal Waters,Kosrae Coastal Waters,Majuro Coastal Waters	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Pohnpei Coastal Waters,Kosrae Coastal Waters,Majuro Coastal Waters	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Pohnpei Coastal Waters,Kosrae Coastal Waters,Majuro Coastal Waters	Marine Weather Statement
Lake Erie	Marine Weather Statement
Pohnpei Coastal Waters,Kosrae Coastal Waters,Majuro Coastal Waters	Marine Weather Statement
Pohnpei Coastal Waters,Kosrae Coastal Waters,Majuro Coastal Waters	Marine Weather Statement
Pohnpei Coastal Waters,Kosrae Coastal Waters,Majuro Coastal Waters	Marine Weather Statement
Pohnpei Coastal Waters,Kosrae Coastal Waters,Majuro Coastal Waters	Marine Weather Statement
Pohnpei Coastal Waters,Kosrae Coastal Waters,Majuro Coastal Waters	Marine Weather Statement
Texas	River Statement (2)

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