A band of strong convergence combined with a robust trade-wind trough brought heavy rainfall to Yap Proper and Ngulu overnight. Over 1 and three quarter inches of rain fell at Yap between 12Z and 18Z. Numerous to widespread locally heavy showers look to continue through late evening, with showers decreasing to scattered around midnight tonight. Latest model guidance varies on expected rainfall amounts, with the ECMWF already showing less rainfall than what has already occurred. The GFS is indicating that up to 5 inches of rain is possible through late tonight. This rainfall is expected to produce mostly minor flooding for Ngulu and Yap Proper, though locally heavier amounts could cause moderate flooding in flood prone areas. This situation will continue to be monitored through the day. Residents of western Yap State should monitor local forecasts and heed any watches, warnings or advisories issued by your local National Weather Service office. This Special Weather Statement will not be updated unless conditions warrant.
