ESFMFL The National Hurricane Center is forecasting Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine to move northward from the Caribbean Sea into the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the middle to latter half of this week. This will bring deep tropical moisture across South Florida with PWAT values reaching the 2.3 to 2.5 inch range. The aforementioned PWAT values will be near the maximum climatological values for this time of year supporting the potential of heavy rainfall, especially across urban areas. Potential rainfall amounts between Tuesday night through Saturday morning looks to be between 2 to 4 inches over inland areas with 3 to 5 inches over the metro areas of South Florida with locally higher amounts possible where a duration of heavy rain continues for a prolonged duration. There is still some uncertainty regarding the forecast over the next couple of days. Users are reminded that shifts in track of the system may vary potential rainfall totals as uncertainty still remains. A Flood Watch may be issued if confidence and potential rainfall amounts increase. Interests in South Florida should stay tuned to the latest forecasts from NWS Miami and the National Hurricane Center.
