A tropical disturbance, JTWC Invest Area 93W, sits nearly-stationary southeast of Koror, Palau near 3N143E, based on latest scatterometer data a visible satellite imagery. Flaring convection with showers and thunderstorms exist around the very broad and loosely-defined circulation center and extend outward to near the southern coastal waters of Palau, and over the islands of Yap State, from southeast of Yap Proper to just south-southeast of Woleai. Another weaker circulation is centered southwest of Weno, Chuuk near 5N151E, and also now nearly-stationary. Forecasts regarding the track, timing and intensification of 93W have varied considerably over the last few days. However, latest trends have continued indicate 93W will likely remain poorly- organized in the region through the rest of the weekend before making a possible west- northwestward trek near Palau and/or Yap around midweek. Interaction between 93W and the circulation south of Weno remains unclear at this time, but could result in a possible eastward shift of 93W, before models have the two features merging into one broad circulation. Showers and thunderstorms are likely across much of the region between Koror and Chuuk Lagoon with locally heavy rainfall possible. However, the location and coverage of showers and thunderstorms may shift, depending on the location and interaction of 93W and the circulation south of Weno. Prolonged periods of heavy showers could result in saturated soils. This could result in increased potential for landslides in areas of steep terrain. Winds, seas and surf may become elevated at times, particularly near heavy showers. Residents across Yap and Chuuk States, and the Republic of Palau, should monitor local weather forecasts through the weekend from the National Weather Service in Guam, and for additional information from your local Weather Service Office and emergency management. Visit weather.gov/gum/PublicForecasts for the latest weather information from the National Weather Service. Schank
