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Other Weather Alerts |
| Type |
Tropical Cyclone Statement |
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| Issued By |
NWS Tallahassee FL |
| Issuing Time |
Tue, 08 Oct 2024 01:41:00 PDT |
| Broadcast Time |
Tue, 08 Oct 2024 01:41:00 PDT |
| Valid Until |
Tue, 08 Oct 2024 09:00:00 PDT |
| Brief Description |
Tropical Cyclone Statement |
| Detailed Description |
HLSTAE This product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia **PERIPHERAL RAIN AND WIND IMPACTS ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND FROM MAJOR HURRICANE MILTON WEDNESDAY** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Dixie, Coastal Franklin, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, Coastal Wakulla, Inland Dixie, Inland Taylor, and Lafayette - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Inland Jefferson and Madison * STORM INFORMATION: - About 570 miles south-southwest of Apalachicola or about 630 miles south-southwest of Tallahassee - 22.3N 88.9W - Storm Intensity 155 mph - Movement East-northeast or 75 degrees at 12 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ At 5 AM EDT, Major Hurricane Milton is a powerful category 4 hurricane just north of the Yucatan Peninsula, moving eastward. While Milton is forecast to weaken over the next couple days, it will still be a dangerous major hurricane when it makes landfall along the west coast of Florida on Wednesday. However, locally we will only have peripheral impacts from wind and rain. While Milton is currently a small hurricane by size, the wind field is forecast to grow larger as it approaches Florida. Additionally, it will begin to interact with a cold front moving southeast over the Florida Panhandle. This expansion in the wind field will help to increase winds on the northwest side of the circulation. Thus, tropical storm conditions are likely across the Apalachee Bay coastline, and into the southeast portions of the Florida Big Bend in and east of Jefferson County, Florida. Note, while gusty winds may not reach tropical storm strength across much of the area, they could still hamper recovery efforts from Helene and cause additional damage to weakened trees or structures. In addition to the wind threat, heavy rainfall is likely across the southeast Big Bend. As Milton interacts with the cold front, a band of heavy rain may materialize that could produce 2 to 4 inches of rain, with local amounts potentially higher across the lower Suwannee Valley. This could result in some localized flash flooding. There will be a very sharp cutoff in the higher rainfall amounts on the northwestern side of the Milton so any subtle shifts in track could bring higher, or lower, amounts of rainfall to those who reside along the current gradient of heavy rain. This gradient now stretches from Steinhatchee northeast through Lake City, Florida. Tornadoes and significant storm surge are currently not a concern with the forecast track of Milton. However, storm surge will be highly track dependent. Any shifts in the track northward may bring a storm surge threat into the some portions of Apalachee Bay. With strong easterly flow ahead of the storm, there will at least be some potential for minor coastal flooding under 3 feet, mostly along any east-facing beaches. Dangerous marine conditions are also expected with building waves and strengthening winds beginning Wednesday and persisting into Thursday afternoon or evening. This will result in high surf and deadly rip currents along all area beaches for much of the upcoming week. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * WIND: Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across the southeast Florida Big Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles. - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several fences and roadway signs blown over. - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent in areas with above ground lines. Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to impacts across the coast of the Apalachee Bay extending westwards towards the Indian Pass. * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across the southeast Florida Big Bend. Potential impacts include: - Heavy rainfall flooding may prompt some evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries could rapidly overflow their banks in some places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter several structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is anticipated. * SURGE: Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across the Apalachee Bay. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding. When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of the storm. Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the forecast. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Tallahassee FL around 11 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant. |
|
| Region |
Alert |
| North Carolina |
Flood Warning (3)
|
| Florida |
Flood Warning (21)
|
| Georgia |
Flood Warning (18)
|
| South Carolina |
Flood Warning (4)
|
| Arkansas |
Flood Warning (2)
|
| Minnesota |
Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (3)
|
| Wisconsin |
Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (3)
|
| West Virginia |
Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory
|
| Maine,New Hampshire |
Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory
|
| Vermont |
Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory
|
| Florida |
Tropical Cyclone Advisory (98)
|
| Tampa Bay,Gulf of Mexico waters,Coastal Florida |
Tropical Cyclone Advisory (3)
|
| Coastal Florida |
Tropical Cyclone Advisory
|
| Lake Okeechobee (Florida),Coastal Florida |
Tropical Cyclone Advisory
|
| Coastal Florida,Southeast Coast (Atlantic) from NC south; Puerto Rican Waters; Caribbean Sea; Southwest North Atlantic |
Tropical Cyclone Advisory (5)
|
| Florida |
Hurricane Local Statement (85)
|
| Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement (25)
|
| South Carolina |
Hurricane Local Statement (7)
|
| Florida Bay,Key West - Florida,Gulf of Mexico waters,Coastal Florida,Key West to Dry Tortugas |
Hurricane Local Statement (5)
|
| Coastal South Carolina,Coastal South Carolina-Georgia,Coastal Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Coastal Florida,Coastal Florida-Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Lake Okeechobee (Florida),Coastal Florida |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Biscayne Bay,Coastal Florida |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Lake Okeechobee (Florida),Coastal Florida |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Biscayne Bay,Coastal Florida |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Coastal Florida,Coastal Florida-Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Coastal South Carolina,Coastal South Carolina-Georgia,Coastal Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Coastal South Carolina,Coastal South Carolina-Georgia,Coastal Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| California |
Public Severe Weather Alert (6)
|
| Arizona |
Public Severe Weather Alert
|
| Texas |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (3)
|
| Florida |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
| North Carolina |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
| Florida,Georgia |
Flood Statement (6)
|
| Alaska |
Special Weather Statement (4)
|
| Pennsylvania |
Special Weather Statement
|
| Montana |
Air Stagnation Advisory
|
| Idaho |
Air Stagnation Advisory
|
| Wyoming |
Air Stagnation Advisory (4)
|
| Colorado |
Air Stagnation Advisory (3)
|
| Alabama,Florida,Georgia |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (53)
|
| South Carolina |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (3)
|
| California |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (3)
|
| Wyoming |
Red Flag Warning
|
| Coastal Texas |
Marine Weather Statement (4)
|
| Maryland,North Carolina,Virginia |
Marine Weather Statement (12)
|
| Coastal Louisiana-Mississippi,Gulf of Mexico waters,Coastal Mississippi |
Marine Weather Statement (4)
|
| Georgia,South Carolina |
Marine Weather Statement (2)
|
| Coastal Delaware-Maryland-Virginia,Coastal Virginia |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Coastal Virginia,Coastal North Carolina |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Chesapeake Bay,Tidal Potomac,Coastal Atlantic (south to NC) |
Marine Weather Statement (9)
|
| Lake Ontario |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Florida |
Marine Weather Statement (7)
|
| Coastal North Carolina |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Coastal North Carolina |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Maine,New Hampshire |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Lake Superior |
Marine Weather Statement (2)
|
| Lake Huron |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Alabama,Florida |
Marine Weather Statement
|
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