| |
|
Other Weather Alerts |
| Type |
Tropical Cyclone Statement |
|
| Issued By |
NWS Tallahassee FL |
| Issuing Time |
Wed, 09 Oct 2024 08:10:00 PDT |
| Broadcast Time |
Wed, 09 Oct 2024 08:10:00 PDT |
| Valid Until |
Wed, 09 Oct 2024 16:15:00 PDT |
| Brief Description |
Tropical Cyclone Statement |
| Detailed Description |
HLSTAE This product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia . PERIPHERAL WIND AND RAIN IMPACTS ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND FROM MAJOR HURRICANE MILTON BEGINNING LATE TODAY** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - The Tropical Storm Watch has been cancelled for Inland Jefferson and Madison * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Dixie, Coastal Franklin, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, Coastal Wakulla, Inland Dixie, Inland Taylor, and Lafayette * STORM INFORMATION: - About 320 miles south of Tallahassee - 25.8N 84.3W - Storm Intensity 145 mph - Movement Northeast or 35 degrees at 17 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ At 11 AM EDT, Hurricane Milton is now a category 4 hurricane over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico while moving northeast at 17 mph. Milton is still forecast to be a large, dangerous major hurricane when it makes landfall along the west-central coast of Florida Wednesday night. Overall, little change has been made to the track compared to the previous advisory, so the thinking on local wind and rain peripheral impacts is largely intact. Milton's forecast large size will be the result of an interaction with a cold front moving southeast over the Florida Panhandle. This expansion in the wind field will help to increase winds on the northwest side of the circulation. While the probabilities for tropical storm force winds have decreased over the last 48 hours, tropical storm conditions are still likely across the Apalachee Bay coastline and the far southeastern Florida Big Bend. The Tropical Storm Watches for Madison and inland Jefferson have been cancelled and replaced with a Wind Advisory, along with much of the Florida Big Bend and south-central Georgia. This is due to strong gradient winds between Milton to our south and a strong area of high pressure pushing in from the north behind the cold front along with little to no rain anticipated from Milton. Important Note: these gusty winds could hamper recovery efforts from Helene and cause additional damage to weakened trees or structures. The heavy rainfall threat continues to decrease across the southeastern Florida Big Bend. Current forecast rainfall amounts across the southeast Big Bend are generally less than 2 inches, with local amounts potentially higher across the lower Suwannee Valley. There will be a very sharp cutoff in the higher rainfall amounts on the northwestern side of the Milton, so any subtle shifts in track could bring higher, or lower, amounts of rainfall to those who reside along the current gradient of heavy rain. Tornadoes and significant storm surge continue to not pose much of a concern with the forecast track of Milton. With strong easterly flow on the northern side of the storm, there will at least be some potential for minor coastal flooding under 3 feet, mostly along any east-facing beaches, especially from Alligator Point to St Marks Florida. Dangerous marine conditions are also expected with building waves and strengthening winds beginning today and persisting into Thursday afternoon or evening. This will result in high surf and deadly rip currents along all area beaches for the rest of the week. The former looks to materialize by this afternoon across St George Island, then spread to the Emerald Coast in the evening. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * WIND: Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across southeast and coastal Florida Big Bend. Potential impacts in this area include: - Some damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the coast of the Apalachee Bay extending westwards towards the Indian Pass. * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited impacts across the extreme southeast Florida Big Bend. Potential impacts include: - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations. - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become swollen and overflow in spots. - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge closures. Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is anticipated. * SURGE: Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across Apalachee Bay. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents. - Minor damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding. When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of the storm. Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the forecast. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Tallahassee FL around 5:30 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant. |
|
| Region |
Alert |
| Florida |
Tornado Warning (11)
|
| Florida |
Flash Flood Warning (7)
|
| Georgia |
Flood Warning (17)
|
| Florida |
Flood Warning (19)
|
| North Carolina |
Flood Warning (3)
|
| South Carolina |
Flood Warning (5)
|
| West Virginia |
Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (4)
|
| Pennsylvania,West Virginia |
Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory (3)
|
| Maryland,Virginia,West Virginia |
Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory
|
| Michigan |
Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory
|
| Coastal Florida,Southeast Coast (Atlantic) from NC south; Puerto Rican Waters; Caribbean Sea; Southwest North Atlantic |
Tropical Cyclone Advisory (119)
|
| Coastal Florida,Gulf of Mexico waters |
Tropical Cyclone Advisory (3)
|
| Lake Okeechobee (Florida),Biscayne Bay,Coastal Florida |
Severe Local Storm Watch or Watch Cancellation (11)
|
| Coastal Florida,Southeast Coast (Atlantic) from NC south; Puerto Rican Waters; Caribbean Sea; Southwest North Atlantic |
Severe Local Storm Watch or Watch Cancellation
|
| Tampa Bay,Gulf of Mexico waters,Coastal Florida |
Severe Local Storm Watch or Watch Cancellation (3)
|
| Lake Okeechobee (Florida) |
Special Marine Warning (2)
|
| Florida |
Hurricane Local Statement (46)
|
| Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement (26)
|
| Florida Bay,Key West - Florida,Gulf of Mexico waters,Coastal Florida,Key West to Dry Tortugas |
Hurricane Local Statement (3)
|
| Biscayne Bay,Coastal Florida |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Lake Okeechobee (Florida),Coastal Florida |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Coastal Florida,Coastal Florida-Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| South Carolina |
Hurricane Local Statement (14)
|
| Coastal South Carolina |
Hurricane Local Statement (5)
|
| Coastal South Carolina,Coastal South Carolina-Georgia,Coastal Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Coastal North Carolina-South Carolina,Coastal South Carolina |
Hurricane Local Statement (2)
|
| Coastal South Carolina,Coastal South Carolina-Georgia,Coastal Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Coastal Florida,Coastal Florida-Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Coastal South Carolina,Coastal South Carolina-Georgia,Coastal Georgia |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Coastal North Carolina,Coastal North Carolina-South Carolina |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
| Texas |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (3)
|
| Louisiana,Mississippi |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
| Florida |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (4)
|
| North Carolina |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (2)
|
| Florida |
Flood Statement (6)
|
| Alaska |
Special Weather Statement (2)
|
| Maine |
Special Weather Statement
|
| Arizona |
Air Stagnation Advisory (2)
|
| Idaho |
Air Stagnation Advisory
|
| Texas |
Air Stagnation Advisory
|
| Oregon |
Air Stagnation Advisory (2)
|
| Colorado |
Air Stagnation Advisory (2)
|
| Wyoming |
Air Stagnation Advisory (3)
|
| California |
Air Stagnation Advisory
|
| Florida |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (53)
|
| Georgia |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (9)
|
| Alabama,Florida,Georgia |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
| Coastal Florida |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
| South Carolina |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (3)
|
| Alaska |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
| Idaho |
Red Flag Warning (2)
|
| Florida,Georgia |
Marine Weather Statement (13)
|
| Lake Huron |
Marine Weather Statement (2)
|
| Lake Huron,Lake Huron |
Marine Weather Statement (5)
|
| Coastal Oregon-California,Coastal California-Oregon |
Marine Weather Statement (8)
|
| Coastal North Carolina |
Marine Weather Statement (7)
|
| Coastal North Carolina |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Lake Erie |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Lake Ontario |
Marine Weather Statement (2)
|
| Lake Ontario |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Virgin Islands |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Texas |
Marine Weather Statement (2)
|
| Coastal Louisiana-Mississippi,Gulf of Mexico waters,Coastal Mississippi |
Marine Weather Statement (4)
|
| Lake Ontario |
Marine Weather Statement
|
| Chesapeake Bay,Tidal Potomac,Coastal Atlantic (south to NC) |
Marine Weather Statement (42)
|
| Alabama,Florida |
Marine Weather Statement
|
|
